Monitoring for SARS-CoV-2 drug resistance mutations in broad viral populations (preprint)

The search for drugs against COVID-19 and other diseases caused by coronaviruses focuses on the most conserved and essential proteins, mainly the main (Mpro) and the papain-like (PLpro) proteases and the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp). Nirmatrelvir, an inhibitor for Mpro, was recently approved by FDA as a part of a two-drug combination, Paxlovid, and many more drugs are in various stages of development. Multiple candidates for the PLpro inhibitors are being studied, but none have yet progressed to clinical trials. Several repurposed inhibitors of RdRp are already in use. We can expect that once anti-COVID-19 drugs become widely used, resistant variants of SARS-CoV-2 will emerge, and we already see that for the drugs targeting SARS-CoV-2 RdRp. We hypothesize that emergence of such variants can be anticipated by identifying possible escape mutations already present in the existing populations of viruses. Our group previously developed the coronavirus3D server (https://coronavirus3d.org), tracking the evolution of SARS- CoV-2 in the context of the three-dimensional structures of its proteins. Here we introduce dedicated pages tracking the emergence of potential drug resistant mutations to Mpro and PLpro, showing that such mutations are already circulating in the SARS-CoV-2 viral population. With regular updates, the drug resistance tracker provides an easy way to monitor and potentially predict the emergence of drug resistance-conferring mutations in the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

Increased frequency of recurrent in-frame deletions in new expanding lineages of SARS CoV-2 reflects immune selective pressure (preprint)

Most of the attention in the surveillance of evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has been centered on single nucleotide substitutions in the spike glycoprotein. We show that in-frame deletions (IFDs) also play a significant role in the evolution of viral genome. The percentage of genomes and lineages with IFDs is growing rapidly and they co-occur independently in multiple lineages, including emerging variants of concerns. IFDs distribution is correlated with spike mutations associated with immune escape and concentrated in proteins involved in interactions with the host immune system. Structural analysis suggests that IFDs remodel viral proteins surfaces at common epitopes and interaction interfaces, affecting the virus interactions with the immune system. We hypothesize that the increased frequency of IFDs is an adaptive response to elevated global population immunity.

The interplay of SARS-CoV-2 evolution and constraints imposed by the structure and functionality of its proteins (preprint)

Fast evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 virus provides us with unique information about the patterns of genetic changes in a single pathogen in the timescale of months. This data is used extensively to track the phylodynamic of the pandemics spread and its split into distinct clades. Here we show that the patterns of SARS-CoV-2 virus mutations along its genome are closely correlated with the structural features of the coded proteins. We show that the foldability of proteins 3D structures and conservation of their functions are the universal factors driving evolutionary selection in protein-coding genes. Insights from the analysis of mutation distribution in the context of the SARS-CoV-2 proteins structures and functions have practical implications including evaluating potential antigen epitopes or selection of primers for PCR-based COVID-19 tests.